Why Nigeria’s Food Prices Stay Sky-High Despite Bumper Harvests

Abubakar Kyari


Nigeria is growing more food than before, yet prices in the market remain stubbornly high. Agriculture Minister Abubakar Kyari has explained the puzzle in clear terms: production at the farm level has improved under President Bola Tinubu’s administration, but the journey from farm to consumer still has major gaps.

According to Kyari, data shows that prices at the farm gate have dropped noticeably. Farmers are producing more, and input costs for them have stabilised thanks to government subsidies on fertiliser and seeds. Improved security has also allowed farmers to return to lands they once abandoned, delivering bumper harvests in 2024 and an even bigger one in 2025. Officials expect the 2026 wet-season harvest to beat last year’s record.

The problem, the minister said, is what happens after the crops leave the farm. Agro-processing has not become cheaper. Distribution networks remain weak. As a result, the lower farm-gate prices do not fully reach ordinary buyers in the markets and shops. Consumers still feel the pinch.

Kyari pointed to deeper structural issues. Nigeria’s population grows by eight to nine million people every year. Twenty-five years ago the country was half its current size; in another 25 years it could double again. Agricultural productivity stays low, access to land is limited, and the cost of quality seeds and other inputs has historically been high. These factors keep the country dependent on imported food, especially processed items.

The government is fighting back on several fronts. It is promoting mechanisation—tractors are already working on farms and are being monitored to cover 500–600 hectares each year. It has banned the export of some raw products such as shea nuts so that value can be added locally. Special Agro-Processing Zones are being built; eight are expected to begin operations before the end of next year, with more planned. These zones will handle production, storage, processing and marketing in one place, cutting the distance between farm and market.

Kyari insisted the country is on the right track. Farm production is rising, security is improving, and interventions from the Ministry of Agriculture, Bank of Agriculture and the National Agricultural Development Fund are helping farmers. The missing piece remains efficient processing and distribution. Until those links strengthen, Nigerians will continue to pay high prices even while more food is being grown.

The next set of official harvest figures is due between October and November. They will show whether the production gains continue—and whether the gaps that keep prices high finally begin to close.

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